Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-07 1.750310 1.898723 2.056274 2.236385 2.437084 2.654410 2.908293
2025-12-14 1.509217 1.709259 1.933678 2.205602 2.528171 2.901086 3.368444
2025-12-21 1.325473 1.546505 1.804221 2.129721 2.533867 3.024490 3.673408
2025-12-28 1.228154 1.468567 1.758016 2.136644 2.625564 3.245068 4.104958
2026-01-04 1.158529 1.414691 1.731731 2.159346 2.731057 3.483952 4.576366
2026-01-11 1.102575 1.371430 1.712399 2.185070 2.837272 3.727230 5.073330
2026-01-18 1.053191 1.331686 1.692681 2.205681 2.934275 3.961822 5.578265
2026-01-25 1.004050 1.288084 1.663463 2.208892 3.004085 4.160025 6.046227
2026-02-01 0.943603 1.225078 1.603087 2.162620 2.996560 4.240505 6.335531
2026-02-08 0.894583 1.174571 1.556324 2.131471 3.007039 4.346187 6.672795
2026-02-15 0.856001 1.136201 1.523903 2.118190 3.041988 4.490565 7.087479
2026-02-22 0.837890 1.125420 1.529717 2.161352 3.166276 4.786830 7.797743
2026-03-01 0.803414 1.090044 1.498650 2.147552 3.200954 4.941907 8.280878
2026-03-08 0.768999 1.053076 1.463213 2.124535 3.218552 5.069104 8.727893
2026-03-15 0.724495 0.999200 1.399685 2.053071 3.149921 5.039310 8.865948
2026-03-22 0.703257 0.978853 1.385740 2.059814 3.213376 5.248863 9.506517
2026-03-29 0.687169 0.965378 1.381413 2.081501 3.303529 5.514412 10.298643
2026-04-05 0.672791 0.953737 1.379141 2.106051 3.399966 5.800058 11.175287
2026-04-12 0.658186 0.941011 1.374349 2.125717 3.488531 6.078342 12.077755
2026-04-19 0.640849 0.923234 1.360513 2.128780 3.546259 6.300434 12.884190
2026-04-26 0.614623 0.890437 1.320898 2.084629 3.511815 6.331545 13.234949
2026-05-03 0.592900 0.863965 1.290462 2.054901 3.502580 6.413510 13.723468
2026-05-10 0.575786 0.844223 1.270253 2.042224 3.525293 6.564751 14.412828